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Comments

bors


impression is considering the stock
is very low around 11-12$ that nearly
anything favorable revealed at these
presentations will encourage
short term appreciation. espically
if the indexs start to shore up.

Aron

The major problem for upside is the overhang of an Amazon entry whose timing is unpredictable and impact quite large. If that issue is resolved the investment becomes 'safer'. That is, even if Blockbuster continues to erode marketshare it will be measured over quarters and years, whereas an Amazon event is a sudden sharply negative stimulus.

I hope that Netflix is not underestimating the importance of resolution on that matter.

trey

you are once again correct on the front lines aron. I too hope that netflix is willing to sacrifice for the short term in order to gain market share in the future by going with amzn no matter what the cost. I don't want nflx to be desperate, but let's face it, the share price is dependant on this amzn entry, and who they partner with. So Reed, remember what happened in Nov. (40% one day loss) because you spilled the bucket on amzn prematurely, now make up for it by joining forces to take on the gorilla known as bbi. Let service rule, not the corporate goons. BBi's time is up, make it so.

bors

on a marketwatch tape the CEO downplayed
the importance of an Amazon.com portol power.
implying that netflix has been gathering
customers all other the net(all major portals)
and via 5 seperate sales channels.

what i dont appreciate from Netflix mgmt
is how they are unwilling to sell out for
less then 30$ a share yet they are unwilling
to do even the minimum of mimimum of stock
buybacks. even a 10-20$ million program
would be good faith performance.

i also dont appreciate how Netflix has
been unable to secure IMDB. they
are pouring 160$ million down the drain this
year and proportionally that would be
around 250$ million next year for marketing.
thats just too much to spend on marketing.
The nflx marketing president should do something
creative or be removed.

bors

on a marketwatch tape the CEO downplayed
the importance of an Amazon.com portol power.
implying that netflix has been gathering
customers all other the net(all major portals)
and via 5 seperate sales channels.

what i dont appreciate from Netflix mgmt
is how they are unwilling to sell out for
less then 30$ a share yet they are unwilling
to do even the minimum of mimimum of stock
buybacks. even a 10-20$ million program
would be good faith performance.

i also dont appreciate how Netflix has
been unable to secure IMDB. they
are pouring 160$ million down the drain this
year and proportionally that would be
around 250$ million next year for marketing.
thats just too much to spend on marketing.
The nflx marketing president should do something
creative or be removed.

bors

i dont see how amazon.com is going to
make a significant entry on their own.
they are spread so thin among 50+ shops.
also the shop goal is to gain 10% of market.
Well 10% of the DVD rental market is
a useless goal.
they just went heavy with Wine & Federated&
Diamonds. if Blockbuster had to spend
400$ million to gather 2 million customers
from an exsisting 20 million customer base.
i doubt that Amazon is willing to do that.
Netflix has been gathering up all the customers
all over the net for years. On the other
hand Netflix 1.8$ Billion asking price
is outlandish. Amazon must have balked.
But if Amazon would insist on a fair price
then the netflix division would be a jewel
inside amazon and increase the number of
monthly credit card transactions
from 4.5 million to nearly 7.5 million.
Thats what Amazon stock needs most, Netflix.
How can they ignore that? If they dont
see the 3 million monthly tranactions as
stellar then maybe Yahoo's e-commerce
division will realize.

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