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According to The DVD Wars it looks like HD DVD is beating Blu-ray in several key areas, including Google searches and Amazon purchase trends.
Who do you think will win the DVD format war?
December 11, 2006 | Permalink
Everytime Sony has tried a proprietary standard (ATRAC, Betamax, Memory Stick, etc), they have failed miserably. Not to say that they don't make great products, because they do. And notably, they did push the DVD format by creating the PS2. But just given the current track record, it doesn't look good.
Anyway, HD-DVD sounds better to me than BlueRay. :)
Lamarr Wilson |
December 11, 2006 at 03:48 AM
HD-DVD was first to market, and cost half as much: $500 vs $1000. BR has slightly greater capacity and resolution. BR also has more of the studios backing it, and writeable drives available. The prices have come down some. I see both formats tanking. Their quality edge isn't as great as they say, because of human error and technical limits. Both formats are going to be obsolete in a few years when the studios switch to holographic media. They're like the laserdisc step between VHS and DVD.
December 11, 2006 at 05:00 AM
While those graphs show HD-DVD ahead, both the lead and the numbers themselves are small.
Most folks (including myself) are still on the sidelines until prices come down. It doesn't make a lot of difference to me which format wins since my only investment will be the player - I will continue to rent discs rather than buy them.
Hunter McDaniel |
December 11, 2006 at 08:37 AM
Sony appears to be flubbing it. The PS3 was supposed to be the killer app for Blu Ray. Sony was supposed to ship two million units this quarter. They'll be lucky to ship half a million. And they still haven't got it working right (reportedly, PS3 isn't currently capable of playing 1080i).
Optical HD Battle May Be Over: HD DVD Wins: http://news.digitaltrends.com/talkback158.html
December 11, 2006 at 10:19 AM
neither of these have been the hot Christmas present. BluRay might have had the edge this year if Sony hadn't screwed up production of PS3. But of my pals with HD sets, none are talking about buying either player.
But it's amazing how the media wants a VHS-Beta war winner declared in a few minutes of the formats being demoed.
December 11, 2006 at 10:22 AM
Maxell is introducing holographic media this year, or early next year, according to press releases. It'll have a 300 GB capacity (6-10 times BluRay and HD-DVD). Within a few years the discs will become affordable for general use. Capacities will most likely double with Moore's Law. What will BlowRay and HD-Dud be worth then? Do you want to invest in formats guaranteed to be trash in the next 2-3 yrs?
December 11, 2006 at 11:28 AM
$200 is a worthwhile investment for 2-3 years (360 add on). Most Mp3 players don't have a life of that long so it's worth it for me, and I think anyone investing in the PS3, it will be worth it to them for the short term. How many of us invested in Hi-Fi VHS players only to now have them sit in our closets now that DVD is king? The fact that Netflix & Blockbuster Online don't charge extra to rent them is great; keeps my costs down.
Lamarr Wilson |
December 11, 2006 at 02:32 PM
You do realize that 300 gb is meaningless on (todays and tomorrows) hd screens? DVD rental will require SD for at least seven years (actually projections are ten years minimum). Remember that many many players are embedded onto screens. They are in cars, portable players etc.
HD and blu ray are sufficient for all of todays HD screens.
Most people on 1080p are not going to see the difference between HD/Blu ray and upscaling by top players such as Oppo.
Also via the net gb/$ and top speed have bene increasing faster than read only media capacities. The real challenge to sd dvd is not BRay and HD but wide rollout of FOIS and IPTV. This and VOD, PVR,DVR is the growth area anyway: DVD sales and rentals have been falling while these have gained.
Also SD dvd delivers content which almost totally maximizes current 1080i and leading edge 1080p screens. HD and BRay are already overkill and will remain so for the majority of the market for close to a decade (Television set lifetime remains at seven years and the explosive growth in HDTV displays is in cheap large 720 and 1080i -- ie price and size considerations dominate resolution). Have you looked at sales charts and projections of screen definition?
Lammar: You don't "invest" in a player or console. You spend. Also they represent a tiny fraction of the market.
December 11, 2006 at 04:22 PM
Personally I hope that HD wins. The "piracy protection" that sony has integrated into Blu-Ray sacres me and the whole root kit fiasco earlier this year confirmed my fears. I have always said that the solution to piracy, or any black market for that matter, is not regulation or new laws but a more open market. I stopped stealing music once I could buy an albumn for $10 on iTunes.
Lammar, keep in mind that the cost of the player is quickly outstripped by the cost of replacing your out of date dvd collection, something I personally dread.
Thomas Paine |
December 13, 2006 at 03:10 PM
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